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The Political Paradox of Cash Transfers

Jul 20
1 min read

By Justin Sandefur , Nancy Birdsall and Mujobu Moyo


This study examines the educational impacts of a community-implemented conditional cash transfer pilot targeted at low-socioeconomic-status households in Tanzania.  

  • Overall Impact: Cash transfers significantly increased children's school participation (by 8 to 10 percentage points) and primary school completion rates (by 14 to 16 percentage points).  

  • Distribution of Gains: Benefits are not distributed uniformly across all demographics:  

    • Children from the lowest-income households experience greater gains along the extensive margin (a higher likelihood of ever attending school), whereas slightly better-off peers see greater gains along the intensive margin (a higher likelihood of completing primary school).  

    • Educational progress is heavily concentrated among students who demonstrated stronger academic performance at baseline.

    • Boys and girls benefit roughly equally, whereas orphans experience smaller improvements in school participation compared to non-orphans.  

  • Conclusion: While safety net programs powerfully boost educational access, conditions alone do not overcome all barriers equally, indicating that policymakers need an array of complementary interventions to achieve universal enrollment for the most vulnerable children.  


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1 Comment


This title really struck a chord with me. I was volunteering at a community center a few years back, and we were helping people apply for emergency relief funds after a natural disaster. There was this one woman, a single mom with three kids, who was so incredibly resourceful. She'd lost everything, but she was already figuring out how to piece things back together, looking for work, and making do with what little she had https://www.rba.gov.au/payments-and-infrastructure/ When the funds finally came through, it wasn't like a magic wand, of course. But I saw firsthand how that little bit of financial breathing room allowed her to focus on the next steps, rather than just immediate survival. She was able to buy…


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